In china , pork is the principal source of dietary protein But more than a million hogs have been culled in East Asia since the disease first appeared in August and Chinese pork production may decline about 30 percent in 2019 because of the virus . a drop of that size would be roughly the same as Europe’s entire annual pork supply .
Therefore Chinese consumers will have to eat less pork and turn to other kinds of meat, like poultry, beef, fish and "alternative proteins .
And that’s a big reason for Meat prices likely to rise because of a global shortages caused by deadly African swine fever that’s sweeping across China and other countries .
In this situation , trade conditions are gradually improving for global poultry thanks to rising global demand – especially from China, which is expected to face a protein shortage this year .
Trade will also be impacted by the ongoing EU-Brazil and Saudi-Brazil trade restrictions, which are impacting breast meat and whole bird prices and A potential US-Chinese trade agreement that re-opens US chicken exports might shake up trade .
This would be bullish for both local production and global trade .